Sleeper Alerts · MarketPokémon sleeper cards worth grading

Cheap raw, big in a PSA 10. Every card from my Sleeper Alert stories, with the real numbers and what you'd make at each grade.

15 cardsUpdated Nov 8, 2026Profit after fees
The math on every card

What you pay vs. what it sells for

1Card
raw price
+
2PSA fee
by graded value
+
3$25
shipping
vs
4Graded sale
minus 13.25% fees

15 cards

Affiliate note: the eBay buttons are affiliate links. If you buy through them, I may earn a small commission at no extra cost to you. How this works. Not financial advice.

Pikachu & Zekrom GX Full Art 162/181, Team Up (2019)New

Worth gradingSun & Moon

Team Up · 162/181 · 2019

Pikachu & Zekrom GX Full Art

Old but hot: the 30th Celebration reprint put it back in the spotlight. Raw fell from ~$200 to $113 while PSA 10 climbed to ~$895, and even a PSA 9 pays after fees.

Raw
$113
PSA 9
$229
PSA 10
$895
~1 a week
Gem rate
52%
1,025 / 1,969 PSA
If PSA 9+$21
If PSA 10+$578

Cost to try: $178 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

Sleeper Alert · prices as of Nov 8, 2026

Ash-Greninja EX Promo XY133, XY Black Star Promos (2016)

Worth gradingXY

XY Black Star Promos · XY133 · 2016

Ash-Greninja EX Promo

Greninja is back in stores with the Mega Greninja ex deck (Nov 13) and the 30th Greninja ex tin (Dec 4). Hard to grade: buy sharp, centered copies only. Even a PSA 8 sells for ~$365.

Raw
$39.03
PSA 9
$1,057
PSA 10
$4,905
~2 a year
Gem rate
1%
25 / 2,450 PSA
If PSA 9+$773
If PSA 10+$3,842

Cost to try: $144 (card + PSA Priority $79.99 + $25 ship)

Sleeper Alert · prices as of Nov 5, 2026

M Lucario EX Secret Rare 113/111, Furious Fists (2014)

Worth gradingXY

Furious Fists · 113/111 · 2014

M Lucario EX Secret Rare

Mega Lucario is the face of Flowing Fists (Feb 2027), like Rayquaza before Delta Reign. It's already moving: a PSA 9 sold for $345 on Oct 1 and $1,195 on Oct 30.

Raw
$150
PSA 9
$850
PSA 10
$5,176
~3 a year
Gem rate
9%
51 / 600 PSA
If PSA 9+$502
If PSA 10+$3,716

Cost to try: $235 (card + PSA Standard $59.99 + $25 ship)

Sleeper Alert · prices as of Nov 5, 2026

Gengar & Mimikyu GX Full Art 164/181, Team Up (2019)

Worth gradingSun & Moon

Team Up · 164/181 · 2019

Gengar & Mimikyu GX Full Art

Older Gengar cards keep climbing. Half of graded copies get a 10 and PSA 10s sell about 3 times a week.

Raw
$337
PSA 9
$500
PSA 10
$1,950
~3 a week
Gem rate
50%
1,513 / 3,038 PSA
If PSA 9+$31
If PSA 10+$1,131

Cost to try: $402 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

Sleeper Alert · prices as of Nov 5, 2026

Mew VMAX Rainbow Rare 269/264, Fusion Strike (2021)

Only if it gemsSword & Shield

Fusion Strike · 269/264 · 2021

Mew VMAX Rainbow Rare

The 30th Celebration Mew figure box lands Dec 24. A PSA 9 loses money, so grade only clean copies: 62% of graded copies get a 10.

Raw
$184
PSA 9
$188
PSA 10
$481
~2 a day
Gem rate
62%
8,637 / 13,821 PSA
If PSA 9−$85
If PSA 10+$168

Cost to try: $249 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

Sleeper Alert · prices as of Nov 5, 2026

Reshiram & Zekrom GX Full Art 222/236, Cosmic Eclipse (2019)

Only if it gemsSun & Moon

Cosmic Eclipse · 222/236 · 2019

Reshiram & Zekrom GX Full Art

Raw is at an all-time high and PSA 10s sell about 3 times a week. Almost 1 in 3 graded copies gets a 10.

Raw
$380
PSA 9
$469
PSA 10
$2,250
~3 a week
Gem rate
31%
1,269 / 4,152 PSA
If PSA 9−$38
If PSA 10+$1,348

Cost to try: $445 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

Instagram story · prices as of Nov 2, 2026

Venusaur ex  112/112, FireRed & LeafGreen (2004)

Worth gradingEX era

FireRed & LeafGreen · 112/112 · 2004

Venusaur ex

Raw doubled in a year and it's still about $300. Only 180 PSA 10s exist.

Raw
$296
PSA 9
$2,253
PSA 10
$9,896
~2 a month
Gem rate
11%
180 / 1,649 PSA
If PSA 9+$1,434
If PSA 10+$7,665

Cost to try: $520 (card + PSA Express $199 + $25 ship)

Instagram story · prices as of Nov 2, 2026

Mew Holo 29/124, Fates Collide (2016)

Worth gradingXY

Fates Collide · 29/124 · 2016

Mew Holo

A $12 Mew where a PSA 9 already pays for the card and the grading.

Raw
$11.66
PSA 9
$215
PSA 10
$2,976
Gem rate
20%
214 / 1,081 PSA
If PSA 9+$110
If PSA 10+$2,196

Cost to try: $76.65 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

$20 Sleeper Challenge · prices as of Nov 1, 2026

Steelix EX Full Art 108/114, Steam Siege (2016)

Worth gradingXY

Steam Siege · 108/114 · 2016

Steelix EX Full Art

Under $17 raw, and more than 1 in 5 graded copies gets a 10.

Raw
$16.90
PSA 9
$188
PSA 10
$1,383
Gem rate
22%
381 / 1,699 PSA
If PSA 9+$81
If PSA 10+$1,077

Cost to try: $81.89 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

$20 Sleeper Challenge · prices as of Nov 1, 2026

Darkrai EX Full Art 74/122, BREAKpoint (2016)

Worth gradingXY

BREAKpoint · 74/122 · 2016

Darkrai EX Full Art

About $10 raw with only 78 PSA 10s. The cheapest card on this list.

Raw
$10.13
PSA 9
$121
PSA 10
$1,925
Gem rate
19%
78 / 416 PSA
If PSA 9+$30
If PSA 10+$1,436

Cost to try: $75.12 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

$20 Sleeper Challenge · prices as of Nov 1, 2026

Shaymin EX Full Art 106/108, Roaring Skies (2015)

Worth gradingXY

Roaring Skies · 106/108 · 2015

Shaymin EX Full Art

A $21 card with only 51 PSA 10s. The cheapest way to chase a big 10.

Raw
$21.07
PSA 9
$201
PSA 10
$3,050
Gem rate
10%
51 / 534 PSA
If PSA 9+$88
If PSA 10+$2,251

Cost to try: $86.06 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

November list · prices as of Oct 31, 2026

Mewtwo EX Full Art 157/162, BREAKthrough (2015)

Worth gradingXY

BREAKthrough · 157/162 · 2015

Mewtwo EX Full Art

A full art Mewtwo for about $60, and a PSA 9 sells for over $800.

Raw
$60.50
PSA 9
$868
PSA 10
$6,400
Gem rate
11%
260 / 2,329 PSA
If PSA 9+$607
If PSA 10+$4,868

Cost to try: $145 (card + PSA Standard $59.99 + $25 ship)

November list · prices as of Oct 31, 2026

Blastoise EX Full Art 142/146, XY (2014)

Worth gradingXY

XY · 142/146 · 2014

Blastoise EX Full Art

Just 18 PSA 10s out of 1,319 graded. Very hard to gem, huge if it does.

Raw
$115
PSA 9
$884
PSA 10
$15,877
Gem rate
1%
18 / 1,319 PSA
If PSA 9+$567
If PSA 10+$13,034*

Cost to try: $200 (card + PSA Standard $59.99 + $25 ship) · *PSA charges more above $10k, so treat it as a ceiling

November list · prices as of Oct 31, 2026

Rayquaza EX Full Art 104/108, Roaring Skies (2015)

Worth gradingXY

Roaring Skies · 104/108 · 2015

Rayquaza EX Full Art

The priciest XY card here, but a PSA 9 already sells for about $2,100.

Raw
$177
PSA 9
$2,100
PSA 10
$7,200
Gem rate
2%
35 / 1,793 PSA
If PSA 9+$1,420
If PSA 10+$5,445

Cost to try: $401 (card + PSA Express $199 + $25 ship)

November list · prices as of Oct 31, 2026

Umbreon GX Full Art 142/149, Sun & Moon (2017)

Only if it gemsSun & Moon

Sun & Moon · 142/149 · 2017

Umbreon GX Full Art

A fan favorite, but a PSA 9 loses money. Only grade a copy you'd bet is a 10.

Raw
$42.10
PSA 9
$105
PSA 10
$920
Gem rate
29%
1,115 / 3,894 PSA
If PSA 9−$16
If PSA 10+$671

Cost to try: $107 (card + PSA Value $39.99 + $25 ship)

November list · prices as of Oct 31, 2026

My checklist

How I pick a Sleeper Alert

Before you buy, check the copy: centering inside PSA's limits, sharp corners, clean edges and no scratches. Measure centering free, then inspect the surface.

  1. Big gapA PSA 10 sells for many times the raw price.
  2. Real salesGraded copies actually sell, so you can cash out.
  3. Gem rateI check how many graded copies get a 10 (PSA population).
  4. Honest verdictIf a PSA 9 loses money, it says "Only if it gems".

Frequently asked questions

What is a sleeper card in Pokémon?

A card that is still cheap raw but sells for much more once graded, usually because few copies get a PSA 10. The raw price hasn't caught up with the graded price yet.

How is the profit calculated?

The graded sale price minus 13.25% in selling fees, minus the raw price, the PSA fee for that graded value and about $25 in shipping. PSA fees come from the tier that covers the card's value after grading.

What does "Only if it gems" mean?

A PSA 9 doesn't cover the cost of the card and the grading, so the card only makes sense if it comes back a PSA 10. Grade only a copy that looks perfect.

How often is this list updated?

Every time I post a new Sleeper Alert story, the card is added here. Prices are refreshed with the monthly sleeper list.

Is this financial advice?

No. These are numbers I researched from PriceCharting and PSA population data, not guarantees. Prices change every week and grading is never guaranteed.

Free toolFound your own sleeper?

Put its raw, PSA 9 and PSA 10 prices in the grading calculator and see what each grade pays.

Run the numbers →